Theresa May is in talks with Corbyn’s Labour Party. The talks hinge upon them agreeing to vote for Theresa May’s negotiated Withdrawal Agreement and thereby ensure sufficient votes in the House of Commons for it to pass. This has been brought about, of course, because the Withdrawal Agreementis a dreadful ‘deal’ and Parliament has rejected it by huge margins three times.
The talks between Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn are designed to agree the way forward after the Withdrawal Agreement has passed in the House.
Without the Withdrawal Agreement passing, there is no point musing about what the future trading relationship will be – the Political Declaration – and even less point in tying the Government to whatever is discussed with Corbyn.
Two things have therefore to happen:
Speaker Bercow has to agree for the Withdrawal Agreement to be brought before the House of Commons again (unchanged)
Labour MPs have to vote in sufficient numbers to ensure it passes.
Neither of those things are certain or even likely.
Theresa May has entered into negotiations with Jeremy Corbyn for no guarantee of success and has nuked her own Party in the process. The Conservatives are in meltdown and there is open fury at what she has done.
The Labour Party is not doing particularly well in all this, either. Supporters don’t want them shoring up a failing Tory Government and Labour Brexiteers blame them for delaying our leaving the EU.
Activists from both Parties out canvassing for the local elections in May are encountering a degree of hostility and anger from members of the public the likes of which none of them have ever known. This is not going to end well for either Party.
Can Prime Minister Theresa May Survive the Spygate Scandal and Deliver Brexit?
Spygate in case you haven’t heard, is the biggest scandal to have hit politics on either side of the Atlantic. Surprisingly, perhaps, for us in the UK, it may well have implications for whether Theresa May survives as Prime Minister and we leave the EU with a clean Brexit once she has departed. Insiders are asking, “Can Prime Minister Theresa May Survive the Spygate Scandal and Deliver Brexit?”
Take your mind away from the current Brexit shenanigans for a moment and put your focus on Prime Minister Theresa May. Why she is so desperate for continued close ties with the EU – and why does she appear to have abandoned closer ties with the US in the future? Does she know something we do not? That our goose is well and truly cooked once the truth comes out about our interference in trying to take out candidate Trump in the 2016 US Presidential Election?
It is possible, I suppose, that the Heads of GCHQ and MI6 thought they were assisting the US to unmask a Russian puppet. Perhaps they didn’t know that their counterparts in US Intelligence, Brennan and Clapper, were rogue elements intent on fabricating a Russian collusion narrative against a Presidential candidate. Perhaps our chaps thought they were doing what was only right and proper for our American cousins, little knowing that they were acting as proxies in this dastardly deed. It didn’t help, of course, that one of our ‘retired’ spies was the go-between for, and possibly the author of, the notoriously salacious ‘Russian’ dossier on candidate Trump that led to the appointment of Special Counsel Mueller. Mueller, incidentally, is still mulling two years on and has yet to produce his final report. Whatever else he has come up with, none of it appears to have implicated President Trump.
Did the UK ask President Trump Not to Expose Their Involvement in Spygate?
The upshot of the evidence is, however, that we are heavily implicated in the Spygate scandal, the plot to take out a Presidential candidate, a President elect and now a sitting President of the United States. After issuing an order for the declassification of documents and text messages related to the Russia-collusion investigations, President Trump received phone calls from two close US allies asking him not to release the information. One of them was almost certainly the UK. Why would we do that unless it would be very damaging to us – and to Prime Minister Theresa May, in particular? She certainly would not want our role in events in 2016 to be made public.
Could this be why Theresa May is so desperate to keep us tied to the EU, to prevent us being out in the cold, having offended our closest ally? Is this why she has bent over and agreed to the EU’s every demand in the withdrawal negotiations and why she is so desperate not to anger them? So we will not be isolated and weakened on the world stage? She would never admit, of course, that this is the real reason for her increasingly alarmist rhetoric as she attempts to keep us under the EU’s umbrella. It makes sense for me, at least, of why she keeps repeating that her Withdrawal Agreement is supposedly a good deal for us in spite of all evidence to the contrary.
Is Theresa May Toast? Are Her Days Numbered?
If she is replaced tomorrow there is still a chance of a clean Brexit. Why the Tories are still clinging to her at this point, given her level of incompetence and her unfailing ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory, is anyone’s guess.
The unanswered question is, when the dust has settled and the plotters have been dealt with, will Trump forgive and forget if we get rid of her?
Might we yet achieve Brexit and come in from the cold?
Perhaps this is old hat for most of us who have long held the belief that the Government’s proposed Withdrawal Agreement is not Brexit and Theresa May’s repeated assurances that we will be leaving the EU are just so much fudge and window dressing.While most of us were enjoying our Boxing Day, John Redwood MP was busy publishing the draft of a leaked letter from a senior civil servant.
Here are a few choice bits to give you a clue where the Government has long been leading us and why May has tried and is still trying, to pull the wool over our eyes.
‘…the Withdrawal Agreement… offers us the best chance to protect all that is best about our current membership whilst fulfilling the letter of the remit to leave the EU on 29 March 2019… (Ministers)… looking for a compromise between Remain and Leave… there must be no damage to jobs and trade…
…no Agreement on offer which duplicates our membership of the Customs Union and single market which also meets the requirements to exit freedom of movement and to leave the EU… possible addition of better trading terms and some agreement on customs once the Withdrawal Agreement is signed… we have allowed plenty of time, with 21 months to be followed by up to a further 2 years… Meanwhile, though we have technically left, all obligations and legal arrangements remain the same.
We have briefed Ministers to stress there might be no Brexit without the Withdrawal Agreement, and to highlight the uncertainties rejecting the Withdrawal Agreement will create… The government has successfully stressed that… a [WTO] Brexit would be “hard” and like falling off a cliff… how many things might change, and how they might change for the worse… a few large multinationals are prepared to forecast problems for supply chains and transport… good that the EU stresses the significance of the Irish border issues.